World Oil Prediction- Year 2041 or Sooner?

11.15.2010

World Oil Prediction- Year 2041 or Sooner?

Here is the suggested dates using the Authors Numbers quoted from the Article. Scotty

'...131 years for replacement of gasoline and diesel, given the current pace of research and development; however, world's oil could run dry almost a century before that ...'

Math: 2010 + 131 = Year 2141 - 100 (century) = Year 2041

2041 - 2010 = 31 Years.

Where do you see your energy coming from in the Future?

Leave comments below in comment section.

All comments that are Energy Related and in English will be published. Scotty

It seems the panic time for both green enthusiasts and peak oil pundits.

According to a new paper by two researchers at the University of California – Davis, it would take 131 years for replacement of gasoline and diesel, given the current pace of research and development; however, world's oil could run dry almost a century before that.

The research was published on Nov. 8 at Environmental Science & Technology, which is based on the theory that market expectations are good predictors reflected in prices of publicly traded securities.

By incorporating market expectations into the model, the authors, Nataliya Malyshkina and Deb Niemeier, indicated that based on their calculation, the peak of oil production could occur between 2010 and 2030, before renewable replacement technologies become viable at around 2140.

The estimates not only delayed the alternative energy timeline, but also pushed up the peak oil deadline. The researchers suggest some previous estimates that pegged year 2040 as the time frame when alternatives would start to replace oil, could be "overly optimistic".