| Estimating the imact of US energy efficiency programmes | ||||
| May 5, 2011 | Risk . net | | ||
Increased interest in energy efficiency and demand response programmes in the US power markets has led to the birth of the negawatt – a tradable resource now gaining prominence in the industry. But estimating the impact of these programmes is not easy, as Elisa Wood discovers Many US states are now mandating deep cuts in power use through energy efficiency programmes. However, for suppliers and utilities, working out the impact these programmes will have on their business models is proving extremely difficult. Twenty-six US states, which account for 65% of the country’s electricity demand, now have energy efficiency resource portfolio standards with targets to reduce electricity demand over time. If achieved, the standards will take a 6% bite out of retail electricity sales nationwide by 2020, according to the American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (ACEEE). Because these, and other efficiency and demand reduction programmes, effectively increase supply, they have given birth to a new virtual resource – the negawatt – energy saved via energy efficiency measures. The negawatt is fast becoming a recognised tradable resource that can be used to bid in some of the US regional wholesale power markets head to head against power resources. The first to accept such bids was ISO New England in its forward capacity market. These negawatts have contributed to significant flattening of demand for capacity in New England. Negawatts have not, however, created power markets that are any less complicated when it comes to navigating risk and reward, according to Daniel Allegretti, vice-president for energy policy with Maryland-based Constellation Energy, which operates in both wholesale and retail electric markets. In fact, they have added yet another wrinkle. “As we’re seeing more demand response coming in flattening things out, we are also seeing more intermittent supply [such as wind and solar] come in. So I don’t think the markets are becoming less volatile from a trading perspective,” he says. “To understand it, to predict and see where to take a position, is becoming increasingly challenging,” he adds. “I wouldn’t say there is a magical algorithm.” Indeed, it is ultimately the “grey matter” that must determine a supplier’s market position by taking in the many data points that influence demand, such as weather, rule changes, energy imports, regional transmission organisation information and new utility programmes, he says. All these variables make trying to calculate the impact of energy efficiency and demand response extremely tricky. “The prevailing conventional wisdom is that energy efficiency will put downward pressure on demand and prices. I don’t think anyone argues with that. The $64,000 question is, of what magnitude,” says Martin Kushler, senior fellow at the ACEEE. Overall demand appears set to rise despite energy efficiency programmes, due to a growing use of air conditioners and electronic devices. However, the rise is forecast at just 1% per year, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Retail electricity rates also appear to be levelling and may even fall, according to the EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook, published in March 2011. Household electricity prices showed no growth from 2009 and 2010, hovering around an average 11.58 cents/kWh, not an unexpected event during a period of slow economic activity and low natural gas prices. The same forecast shows electricity prices rising by 1% in 2011 and 0.5% in 2012. But over the long term, prices may actually fall. An early release of EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2011 projects that real average delivered electricity prices will drop to as low as 8.9 cents/kWh in 2016. _______________ Scotty writes: I'll believe a decrease in Electricity Rates when It happens. From all I read about Ameren UE's agenda- they will not be lowering the Electricity Rates for St Louis anytime soon. |
Scotts Contracting St.Louis Design Build Sustainable Building Contractor-providing diversified quality service at a fair price. For all of your remodeling, repairs, and maintenance needs.
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5.05.2011
Nega Watts- Energy Efficiency News
5.04.2011
Used Clay Roofing Tiles For Sale
Clay Roofing Tiles - Recycled via Old World Roofing Company
see article: Recycling is not just for Cans
Clay Tiles from Porch of House
170-Good Pcs
31- Minor Damage Useable
22- 1/2 Size Pcs
22- Edge Pcs
79 Ln Ft Ridge Cap
1 - Ridge Cap End Piece
4.26.2011
Available Solar Systems
- Westinghouse Solar,
- Solar World,
- Kyocera,
- Schott,
- Schuco,
- Sanyo,
- Suniva,
- Suntech,
- Canadian Solar,
- GE Solar,
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- SoloPower plus many more.
I have the products you need for your next Solar Project -at the prices you can afford.
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Buy in USA, ARRA products ready to go. Special Engineering Services available with Purchase!
Need complete systems or High efficient modules? Scotts Contracting-St Louis Renewable Energy can provide all the solutions you need.
Grant or Incentive assignments possible on case by case basis.
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scottscontracting@gmail.com
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4.22.2011
CSP Business Proposal
Business Proposal1
CSP-Design will enable every homeowner an option for Inexpensive Photovoltaic System for their Home or Business.
- In many of the calls from people who desire a solar photovoltaic system for their property I have found that the biggest hurdles to overcome are:
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- Total Costs of the System (Thousands of dollars that do not produce as reasonable return on the investment that is under 15 years) and or
- Their Property Lacks the Area Needed (Total square footage of roof space) to install a field of solar panels that are needed to generate the required electricity to supply the needs of their building.
The CSP (Concentrated Solar Power) design I have been engineering and designing will overcome both of these hurdles and can be adapted for any roofing system and ground mount capabilities.
- This Business Proposal is open to: People, Groups, and Organizations who are not affiliated with the following industries: fossil fuels or nuclear.
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- I am not trying to re-invent2 the wheel with my design and plan to adapt and use various individual components from the leaders in the photovoltaic industry that are currently on the market today.
- To make this invention a viable solution and bring the product to market. I am seeking investors who are interested in assisting me with this project. To include:
- Monetary donations
- Copyright and assistance in establishing a corporation.
- Engineering assistance to fine tune the CSP design that will include real-world stats on the electrical output that is generated from the CSP system.
- Manufacturing assistance once the final design is configured.
- At this stage in building the promotional model. I am relatively confident that I can build the system between $400.00-$1,000.00 and it will supply the same electrical output of a a system that uses 3-4 solar panels. This is a savings of 66% when compared to the costs of current solar panels on the market today.
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- I am still working out the percentages of income that investors are entitled to, and am not seeking monetary donations at this time. If you would like to learn more about the offering use scottscontracting@gmail.com and I will return any inquires for this offering.
-
- View the Confidentiality Agreement
1Initial Exploratory Public Offering For CSP Design-4/17/2011 This heading was changed- to Business Proposal 4/22/11- I do not own a publicly traded company.
2Archimedes was the first Concentrated Solar Designer and many companies and individuals have improved upon these principles
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