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9.08.2010

Illinois Solar Power Law-Enacted Aug 2010

Illinois Laws Boost Solar Power Use for Utilities, Individuals

August 30, 2010

Illinois Governor Pat Quinn on August 17 signed legislation that boosts the use of solar power by individuals and by state utilities. One law requires the two state utilities, Commonwealth Edison and Ameren, begin purchasing solar power as part of their renewable energy portfolios starting in 2012, three years earlier than previously required by state statute. Specifically, the utilities will now be required to purchase 0.5% of their power from solar sources by June 1, 2012; 1.5% by June 1, 2013; 3% by June 1, 2014; and 6% by June 1, 2015.

A second measure signed into law creates the Homeowners' Solar Energy Act to ensure individual homeowners have the right to construct solar energy panels on their homes, provided the individual homeowners follow certain guidelines. Under the new law, homeowner's associations cannot prohibit homeowners from installing solar panels on their property. The goal of both laws is to reduce dependence on foreign oil while cutting greenhouse gas emissions. See the governor's press release Copied below.


CHICAGO – August 17, 2010. Governor Pat Quinn today signed legislation that promotes energy independence by furthering the use of solar power by individuals and by industry. The new laws establish strengthened targets for utilities that will be purchasing more solar energy and help homeowners who want to increase their solar energy usage.

"Solar energy is the wave of the future, and it is important that our public utilities and homeowners are able to more easily increase their use of solar energy," said Governor Quinn. "We must do everything we can to increase our use of solar energy, which will help us protect natural resources and reduce our reliance on traditional energy sources, such as foreign oil."

House Bill 6202, sponsored by Rep. William Burns (D-Chicago) and Sen. Don Harmon (D-Oak Park), amends both the Illinois Power Agency Act and the Public Utilities Act to change the date by which Commonwealth Edison and Ameren must begin purchasing solar energy as part of the renewable energy portfolio requirement. The new law changes the date to 2012, which is three years earlier than the previous 2015 deadline.

Specifically, the power industry will now be required to purchase .5 percent of its power from solar sources by June 1, 2012; 1.5 percent by June 1, 2013; 3 percent by June 1, 2014; and 6 percent by June 1, 2015, and each year thereafter.

House Bill 5429, sponsored by Rep. Sara Feigenholtz (D-Chicago) and Sen. Michael Noland (D-Elgin), creates the Homeowners' Solar Energy Act to ensure the right of individual homeowners to construct solar energy panels on their homes, provided the individual homeowners follow certain guidelines. Under the new law, homeowner's associations cannot prohibit homeowners from installing solar panels on their property.

Governor Quinn signed both pieces of legislation at the University of Illinois at Chicago. House Bill 6202 takes effect immediately and House Bill 5429 will take effect Jan. 1, 2011.

Solar power uses the energy from sunlight to generate electricity. Solar energy can be used in smaller, residential settings, and in recent years, multi-megawatt plants have been built.


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Insulation-If Walls Could Talk Part 1

If Walls Could Talk

Insulation: A tougher code necessitates more remodeling training

Roofing & Insulation
Credit Available30% of cost (product only, no labor)
$1,500 maximum for all improvements combined
TimelineMust be "placed in service" (ready and available for use)
Jan. 1, 2009 – Dec. 31, 2010
Requirements
Metal and Asphalt RoofsEnergy Star–qualified
InsulationMeets 2009 IECC & Amendments
Must be expected to last five years or have a two-year warranty
Primary purpose must be to insulate. As of May 31, 2009, IRS has not ruled on SIPs or insulated siding, but it is believed that SIPs are eligible
Provided by Scotts Contracting 


Dollar for dollar, insulation and weatherization deliver more bang for their energy-efficiency buck than almost any home improvement. Happily for manufacturers and installers, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's $1,500 tax credit can be applied, in theory, to a broad array of materials and methods — batts, spray foam, loose-fill; wraps, sealants, tapes, and flashing; even structural insulated panels — that are primarily designed to reduce the heat loss or gain of the nation's estimated 80 million underinsulated homes.
On its surface, the insulation provision is simple: Homeowners can take a tax credit of 30% of the cost of materials only, to a maximum of $1,500, for insulation work performed this year and next. That's triple the credit available since 2005. The sum of the resulting "insulation material used in layers" must meet the R-values prescribed by the 2009 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC).

"We think the recovery bill is a great opportunity to move forward" toward a more energy-efficient housing stock, says Gary Nieman, vice president of government policy initiatives at Owens Corning, feature one of several insulation manufacturers that were interviewed for this article.

Guardian Building Products' "customer base has expressed heavy interest in several areas of the ARRA," says Aaron Hock, national sales manager.
Code of Conduct

More on the Building Envelope

Things start to get sticky with the IECC. Published by the International Code Council (ICC) and based on goals set by the U.S. Department of Energy, the 2009 IECC will produce 15% in energy-efficiency gains over the 2006 version, according to the DOE. (To purchase the 2009 IECC, go to www.iccsafe.org.

Regarding insulation, the 2009 IECC is considerably tougher than the previous version, particularly in colder parts of the country, where R-values (thermal resistance) are now as high as 21 for wood frame walls, 38 for floors, and 49 for ceilings and attics. "The new code requirements make it tough for builders to do things as usual and still meet the code," says Bob Burgess, president of Accurate Insulation, in Upper Marlboro, Md., whose 65 installers work all over the mid-Atlantic region. This is especially true in remodeling, when insulation is sometimes compressed into small cavities, potentially compromising R-value.

Numerous products meet the specified R-values, including fiberglass and cotton batt insulation with ratings of R-21 or higher that can be installed in a 2x6-framed wall cavity, plus several loose-fill products using fiberglass, cellulose, or other materials that can be installed behind netting in open framing or used to fill cavities in existing walls.

Such products likely won't be as inexpensive as the old mainstays, however, or necessarily prove as easy to find, at least based on a few calls to building supply retailers.

In some cases, in fact, meeting the prescribed R-values becomes almost cost-prohibitive. Ironically, it may even deter homeowners from choosing what many green remodeling advocates believe are the best (but most expensive) insulating products: water-based spray foams that expand to fill gaps and holes.

"They're speaking batt language," says Laura Calfayan of Calfayan Construction and AirTight SprayFoam of Southeastern PA, in Huntingdon Valley. "If I were to spray R-38, I'm literally forcing people to spend more than they need to," she says, to achieve the same comfort effects that can be achieved with 2 inches of AirTight's water-based, closed-cell foam, whose continuous air barrier reduces energy use beyond its stated R-value of 7 per inch.

Even so, business is up for spray foam companies. An Icynene product, for example, has a 3.7-per-inch R-value, allowing 2x6 walls insulated with it to meet the 2009 IECC in zones that require R-20.
By mid-April, downloads of the Icynene manufacturer's certification statement (needed for tax documentation purposes) had risen by 68% since January, according to Teresa Crosato, the company's marketing communications supervisor.

If homeowners must dig a bit deeper at the point of sale, that's the price of progress, says Darren Meyers, technical director of energy programs with the ICC. "[The 2009 IECC] is a paradigm shift because the nation and the home-building community have not understood how far behind our construction practices are. We've never had a call to action [to be very energy efficient]," he says. The DOE's goals, and the resulting code, are the call to action.


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Insulation-If Walls Could Talk

If Walls Could Talk

Insulation: A tougher code necessitates more remodeling training

Roofing & Insulation
Credit Available30% of cost (product only, no labor)
$1,500 maximum for all improvements combined
TimelineMust be "placed in service" (ready and available for use)
Jan. 1, 2009 – Dec. 31, 2010
Requirements
Metal & Asphalt RoofsEnergy Star–qualified
InsulationMeets 2009 IECC & Amendments
Must be expected to last five years or have a two-year warranty
Primary purpose must be to insulate. As of May 31, 2009, IRS has not ruled on SIPs or insulated siding, but it is believed that SIPs are eligible
See summary chart: Stimulus at a Glance


Dollar for dollar, insulation and weatherization deliver more bang for their energy-efficiency buck than almost any home improvement (see chart, MarketWatch). Happily for manufacturers and installers, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's $1,500 tax credit can be applied, in theory, to a broad array of materials and methods — batts, spray foam, loose-fill; wraps, sealants, tapes, and flashing; even structural insulated panels — that are primarily designed to reduce the heat loss or gain of the nation's estimated 80 million underinsulated homes.
On its surface, the insulation provision is simple: Homeowners can take a tax credit of 30% of the cost of materials only, to a maximum of $1,500, for insulation work performed this year and next. That's triple the credit available since 2005. The sum of the resulting "insulation material used in layers" must meet the R-values prescribed by the 2009 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC).
"We think the recovery bill is a great opportunity to move forward" toward a more energy-efficient housing stock, says Gary Nieman, vice president of government policy initiatives at Owens Corning, feature one of several insulation manufacturers that were interviewed for this article.
Guardian Building Products' "customer base has expressed heavy interest in several areas of the ARRA," says Aaron Hock, national sales manager.
Code of Conduct

More on the Building Envelope

Things start to get sticky with the IECC. Published by the International Code Council (ICC) and based on goals set by the U.S. Department of Energy, the 2009 IECC will produce 15% in energy-efficiency gains over the 2006 version, according to the DOE. (To purchase the 2009 IECC, go to www.iccsafe.org.)
Regarding insulation, the 2009 IECC is considerably tougher than the previous version, particularly in colder parts of the country, where R-values (thermal resistance) are now as high as 21 for wood frame walls, 38 for floors, and 49 for ceilings and attics. "The new code requirements make it tough for builders to do things as usual and still meet the code," says Bob Burgess, president of Accurate Insulation, in Upper Marlboro, Md., whose 65 installers work all over the mid-Atlantic region. This is especially true in remodeling, when insulation is sometimes compressed into small cavities, potentially compromising R-value.
Numerous products meet the specified R-values, including fiberglass and cotton batt insulation with ratings of R-21 or higher that can be installed in a 2x6-framed wall cavity, plus several loose-fill products using fiberglass, cellulose, or other materials that can be installed behind netting in open framing or used to fill cavities in existing walls.
Such products likely won't be as inexpensive as the old mainstays, however, or necessarily prove as easy to find, at least based on a few calls to building supply retailers.
In some cases, in fact, meeting the prescribed R-values becomes almost cost-prohibitive. Ironically, it may even deter homeowners from choosing what many green remodeling advocates believe are the best (but most expensive) insulating products: water-based spray foams that expand to fill gaps and holes.
"They're speaking batt language," says Laura Calfayan of Calfayan Construction and AirTight SprayFoam of Southeastern PA, in Huntingdon Valley. "If I were to spray R-38, I'm literally forcing people to spend more than they need to," she says, to achieve the same comfort effects that can be achieved with 2 inches of AirTight's water-based, closed-cell foam, whose continuous air barrier reduces energy use beyond its stated R-value of 7 per inch.
Even so, business is up for spray foam companies. An Icynene product, for example, has a 3.7-per-inch R-value, allowing 2x6 walls insulated with it to meet the 2009 IECC in zones that require R-20.
By mid-April, downloads of the Icynene manufacturer's certification statement (needed for tax documentation purposes) had risen by 68% since January, according to Teresa Crosato, the company's marketing communications supervisor.
If homeowners must dig a bit deeper at the point of sale, that's the price of progress, says Darren Meyers, technical director of energy programs with the ICC. "[The 2009 IECC] is a paradigm shift because the nation and the home-building community have not understood how far behind our construction practices are. We've never had a call to action [to be very energy efficient]," he says. The DOE's goals, and the resulting code, are the call to action.
Labor Pains
There are also concerns about the labor component of the ARRA — more specifically, the absence of a labor component.
Why the tax credit doesn't cover labor costs mystifies some industry sources. "We have to open the IRS's eyes to help them understand that the labor component is key," says Michael Kwart, executive director of Insulation Contractors Association of America (ICAA), a trade group. "It's still a wonderful credit," he says, but most insulation materials "don't get to the effective R-value without labor."

Photo Credit: Scott Roberts
Perhaps more importantly, from the safety and efficacy perspectives, insulating existing homes is different from insulating new homes, where there are no obstructions or hidden conditions. The wrong product can be selected for the wrong location, or placed too close to the recessed lights, or not blown to the specified depth. Gaps, cracks, and openings are left unsealed. Inadequate ventilation can allow harmful substances to build up.
"You have to be a lot more attentive when you're doing retrofit work," Burgess says. Besides having enough knowledge to be able to specify the right insulation product — and even know about new products — insulating in conjunction with remodeling work "takes more time, and the right kind of person." He has invested considerably in training his workforce in insulation retrofits, including training some through the Maryland Home Performance with Energy Star program to become energy auditors, and requiring a "retrofit checklist" for remodeling jobs.
Burgess' approach is relatively unusual, many say. "Insulation contractors are often not as trained as they should be," says green remodeler Michael Anschel of Otogawa-Anschel, in Minneapolis. "Plumbers, the guys who make sure stuff goes down a tube, they have to carry a license that's pretty hard to get. But the guys who change the physical properties of your house — the way the house functions — they often don't have to take a test or be licensed or anything."
The broader insulation industry is also aware of these concerns and is proactively striving to mitigate them. "It's not good for the industry to have people installing improperly," says Gale Tedhams, Owens Corning's director of sustainability. "Open-mindedness and creativity are at an all-time high, and we absolutely support good building science" and strong training for the company's "preferred" contractors.
In the long run, the ARRA could even burnish the image of the insulation industry. Like so many contracting professions, "We've had the black eye already," says ICAA's Kwart. Among other developments aimed at educating installers on the nuances of older homes, his association launched a series of voluntary "retrofit training programs" last year. —Leah Thayer, senior editor, REMODELING.

Bottom Line

The federal tax credit is 30% of the cost of materials only, up to $1,500, per household for insulation and other improvements combined. Labor is excluded, so the invoice should separate materials and labor. Must be installed between Jan. 1, 2009 and Dec. 31, 2010. Installation must meet the specifications of the 2009 IECC. Materials' primary purpose must be to insulate, and must be expected to remain in use for at least five years or have a minimum two-year warranty. Check with manufacturers for eligibility and to obtain certifications for record-keeping.

Doing It Right: Weatherization

In addition to insulation tax credits for homeowners, the ARRA earmarks $5 billion for the U.S. Department of Energy's Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP). It also expands eligibility to families making up to 200% of the federal poverty level — about $44,000 a year for a family of four (income thresholds are higher in Alaska and Hawaii).
This is a huge increase for a program that has existed since 1976 and whose funding, in fiscal year 2008, was a relatively small $227.2 million. Under the ARRA, WAP is intended to weatherize a million homes per year, at a maximum average cost of $6,500 per home. Weatherization reduces the heating bills of low-income families by an average of 32%, as well as providing health and other benefits, according to the DOE.
How WAP Works
The money is distributed to state-level agencies that contract with local agencies to do the weatherization projects, beginning with an energy audit. By parsing out the money in installments, it is hoped that the agencies will have time to develop plans and ramp up training, production, and oversight (one insider said that some agencies "are like deer in the headlights" trying to manage more money than most have ever seen).
"Standards for conformance" dictate eligible materials. Manufacturers and installers are excited, though there are concerns that the dollar amounts will attract poorly trained players.
There's also hope, however, that established remodeling companies will be able to lend their talents to WAP. "Absolutely, there's opportunity for small remodelers," says Christina Kielich, a DOE spokesperson. "This is really aimed at small contractors that could hire the five or 10 people to do the work."
For links to state offices and technical information, visit www.waptac.org. —Leah Thayer


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Check out this article from Remodeling Magazine!

Hello,

This article link from Remodeling Magazine
http://www.remodeling.hw.net was sent to you by Scotty

To view this article click on the following link below. America Online
users: Cut-and-paste the link into your web browser and hit the enter key.

http://www.remodeling.hw.net/tax-credits/interactive-poster-energy-tax-credits.aspx

Scotty
also wanted to give you this message:

Thank you for signing Support the Solar Bill of Rights

Dear Friends,

I have just read and signed the petition: "Support the Solar Bill of Rights".

Please take a moment to read about this important issue, and join me in signing the petition. It takes just 30 seconds, but can truly make a difference. We are trying to reach 30000 signatures - please sign here: http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/715/758/531/

Once you have signed, you can help even more by asking your friends and family to sign as well.

Thank you! B


http://www.care2.com/go/z/e/VdK7/qM../blMjq






Care2.com, Inc.
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http://www.care2.com



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Guest Post: Pelosi Era ends in less than 60 Days



 


John Dennis for Congress

Fellow Liberty-Loving American:

We are less than 60 days away from Election Day, and with your help, it will be the END OF THE PELOSI ERA. Out of the hundreds of campaigns across America running against her record, my opponent IS House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, and I am the ONLY candidate in America who can send her into retirement.

Thanks to thousands of patriotic Americans, my campaign is gaining momentum and it was recently detailed in a Wall Street Journal article. The outpouring of support is starting to make the Pelosi campaign realize that America is tired of a tax and spend liberal controlling "the People's House."

Before we start the celebration, we must take advantage of every day, hour and minute of the next 56 days remaining days in the battle to beat back Pelosi and her liberal allies. I am not taking even 1 day to stop my attempt to save America from her statist, progressive agenda.

As a father, husband, businessman and life-long patriot, I must do everything within me to defeat Nancy Pelosi in order to save America for your children and mine.

If like me your goal this election cycle is to stop business as usual in Washington and put an end to the liberal taxing and spending that lead to a $13 Trillion debt, then lend YOUR SUPPORT TODAY. Will you follow this link right away to make an immediate donation of $35, $56, $100, or $250.

By giving just $1, $2 or even $3 per day from now until the election, you will ensure that our shared constitutional values of personal liberty and state's rights continue to have a strong voice in Washington.

Pelosi and her liberal cronies are already plotting their post-election lame duck session where they seek to pass cap-and-trade and other harmful legislation while most Americans will be thinking about Thanksgiving and holiday shopping.

Defeating Pelosi this November will force other Members of Congress to reconsider their support for these bills and keep Congress from passing such egregious legislation. In fact, it will single-handedly deflate her perception as the "most powerful" Speaker in the history of the United States and cause a major setback to the radical Obama Agenda.

Please SELECT HERE AND contribute generously to defeat Nancy Pelosi and the radical Obama Agenda. This is America's first real chance to rid us of her terrible reign.

Your generous contribution of $35, $56, $100, $250, the federal maximum amount of $2,400, or any amount you can afford to give is sincerely appreciated and will be used wisely towards the defeat of Nancy Pelosi.

In her 24 years in Congress, we have lost more of our personal liberties, seen the economy plummet and watched our national debt reach a nearly unrecoverable $13 Trillion. Pelosi is a tax-and-spend liberal whose love for taxing hardworking families goes so far that she wants your children and mine to be stuck paying for debts that do nothing more than put our nation on a wayward death spiral!

Her agenda is mired in decision-making that stems from George Soros' Center for American Progress, receives White House approval and is then executed by MOVEON.org, the Daily Kos, ACORN, labor unions and K Street lobbyists who will do whatever it takes to help her continue this statist agenda. Their record of destroying America includes:

  • PelosiCare
  • Suing Arizona for cracking down on illegal immigration
  • Refusing to extend the Bush tax cuts
  • Tax-and-cap environmental extremism
  • Cash-for-clunkers
  • Bank bailouts
  • Bonuses for AIG Executives
  • Union bailouts
  • State government bailouts
  • Bleeding Social Security dry
  • Bleeding our children and grandchildren dry
  • Unrelenting unemployment
  • Increasing Foreclosures
  • Unprecedented Bankruptcies
  • Ending secret ballot elections
  • Nationalization of student loan programs
  • Etc., etc., etc.

As we continue to gain momentum and polls continue to show how vulnerable Congressional Democrats are, you can be assured that I will become a top Congressional target on the left. Pelosi is their Queen Bee and they will not allow her to be attacked without a knockdown, drag out brawl.

I will be attacked by the same forces who believe Charlie Rangel, Maxine Waters, Erica Massa and Bart Stupak, all top Pelosi lieutenants, have been mistakenly punished for their treasonous actions. These liberal forces are coalescing around the Obama-Pelosi agenda without regard for their long-term impact, and it's high time we put an end to their reign by electing patriotic Americans who put principle above self.

Will you follow this link to make an immediate donation to help me raise $100,000 in the next 24 hours? I know, with your generous support, we can match the support Pelosi is receiving from her far-left supporters dollar for dollar. They will pull out all of the stops to try to stop our rallies and defeat candidates like me.

There is no time to waste in this campaign. We're heading into the busiest stretch of the season, and I must be prepared to wage a serious financial challenge against Nancy Pelosi for the next 56 days.A tide of patriotic Americans who understand Constitutional principles has been building across our nation and now is the time to ensure we succeed by putting an END TO THE PELOSI ERA.

They will stop at nothing to silence our voices unless we have the resources to fight back. Let's show them we're not going anywhere. I need your immediate support to fight back against this liberal surge of money in my race to END THE PELOSI ERA.

We must band together to send a message that we are only gaining strength in the final 56 days leading up to this election. Your immediate donation of $56 - just one dollar per day- will help me do just that.

Please don't sit on the sidelines and allow Nancy Pelosi and the far-left steamroll me with their well-funded attacks. Take action today!

Your support and encouragement is always appreciated.

Please stand with me today and help me put an END TO THE PELOSI ERA.

Yours in liberty,

John Dennis
Republican for U.S. Congress

P.S. With your immediate financial support I know we can revive our constitutional values in Washington and restore prosperity to America for your children and mine. Please follow this link to make a contribution of $25, $50, $100, $250 or even the maximum $2,400 and send a fellow liberty-loving American to Washington while we put an END TO THE PELOSI ERA once and for all.

You may also mail your contributions to:

John Dennis for Congress
1592 Union Street
San Francisco, CA 94123

Federal law requires political committees to do their best efforts to obtain and report the name, mailing address, occupation and employer for each individual whose contributions aggregate in excess of $200 in an election cycle. Contributions to John Dennis for Congress are not deductible as charitable donations for federal income tax purposes. Contributions from corporations and foreign nationals are prohibited.

Paid for by John Dennis For Congress

1592 Union Street • San Francisco, CA • 94123






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Extreme Weather Leads to:Fire, Floods, Food Riots

A common link among fire, floods, food riots: extreme weather

Ten million without shelter in Pakistan floods: UN AFP – A young Pakistani carries a bag of aid through a flooded area in Bannay Wala. Pakistan's devastating …

By JOHN CAREY
Special to Yahoo! News

Deadly riots in the streets of Mozambique over sharply higher food prices have left 13 dead. Anger is growing in Egypt and Serbia as well. Panicked Russian shoppers have cleared the shelves of staple grains. And the devastating floods that have left as many as 10  million Pakistanis homeless are also raising concerns about the country's ability to feed itself.

A series of isolated disasters? Not at all. The common thread: extreme weather, which is putting pressure on food supplies around the globe.

What's going on? 

For most of the summer, Russia was in the grip of an unprecedented heat wave. Fires darkened the skies of Moscow with thick smoke, and the Russian wheat crop withered and burned. Fully a third of the usual Russian harvest of buckwheat -- one of the country's most commonly used grains -- was lost. That has led to shortages of wheat at home in Russia -- and an export ban on Russian wheat.

The export cutback has in turn driven up food prices in countries like Mozambique and Egypt, which depend on food imports, sparking anger and riots.

Meanwhile, the same weather pattern of high pressure that brought searing heat to Russia diverted moisture in the atmosphere toward Pakistan, causing torrential rains and devastating flooding.

Who is affected?

Mostly, just those people in countries now facing shortages and price spikes. There's no overall shortage of food. The United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization says that 2010 brought the third-largest harvest of grains on record, leaving global food stocks high.

But the shortfall in Russian wheat did push up grain prices. As a result, the government of Mozambique raised the official price of bread by 20%. That touched off the riots, forcing the government to backtrack.

In hard-hit Pakistan, prices of food have risen 15%.

[Pakistan floods: How to help]

The Food and Agriculture Organization acknowledges that higher prices are causing hardships. But it adds that the situation now is far less dire than it was in 2007-08, when the soaring price of energy caused an even bigger spike in food prices.

Will the United States be affected?

In the short term, there are few concerns outside countries hit by natural disasters or higher prices. Even Russians aren't facing actual shortages of food, just limited supplies of one of their favorite staples -- buckwheat.

In fact, the problems have been a boon for American farmers. Exports of farm products nearly hit record levels in 2010, thanks to bountiful harvests and higher prices for wheat, corn, cotton and other crops.

How worried should we be?

Nevertheless, the long-term threat -- the potential impact of climate change on agriculture throughout the globe -- is major. Until recently, scientists were careful to say that any single natural disastrous climate event, such as the Russian drought or Hurricane Katrina, could not be attributed to global warming. No longer. "The issue isn't whether these events are natural or caused by climate change," former Energy Department official Joseph J. Romm told Yahoo! News. "It's both. You can't separate the two." 

For instance, a study by Kevin Trenberth -- head of climate analysis at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. -- has shown that Hurricane Katrina dumped more rain on the Gulf Coast than would have happened without climate change.

"What we can say is that certain events would have been extremely unlikely to have occurred without global warming, and that includes the Russian heat wave and wildfires, and Pakistan, Chinese and Indian floods," Trenberth told Yahoo! News.

Even the Russians have become believers in the threat. The Russian government used to doubt the existence of climate change, or argue that it might be beneficial for Russia to get a bit warmer.

Now, suggests Romm, they've realized that global warming won't bring a gradual and relatively benign increase in temperatures. Instead, as scientists' climate models have long predicted, the effect will be to intensify extreme events. As Russian President Dmitri A. Medvedev told the Russian Security Council this month: "Everyone is talking about climate change now. Unfortunately, what is happening now in our central regions is evidence of this global climate change, because we have never in our history faced such weather conditions in the past."

How critical could the situation get?

If you think the Russian heat wave or Pakistan floods are bad, wait until the Earth's temperature rises a few more degrees, as scientists' models also predict. "We ain't seen nothing yet," warns Romm. "I think we can't even imagine" future events.

So agriculture -- and the world's ability to feed itself -- face huge challenges.

"We are getting to a point where we are getting more water, more rainy days, but it's more variable, so it leads to droughts and it leads to floods," Sunita Narain, the head of the Center for Science and Environment in India, told AFP during a world conference on water, being held through Saturday in Sweden. "That is leading to huge amounts of stress on agriculture and livelihoods."

What can be done to ease the problems?

When it comes to short-term problems -- shortages and high prices -- the key is to ensure that global food stocks get to the countries that most need them, agricultural experts say.

The long-term problem is far more complicated. The only real solution, many scientists believe, is to tackle global warming at its root, by reducing emissions from fossil fuels or by stepping up efforts to take carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases out of the atmosphere.

John Carey is an environmental writer.



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